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Monday, June 02, 2008


"SO I CAN SIGH ETERNALLY"

One of the last big media events that broke my heart was the 1994 suicide of Kurt Cobain. Nirvana was the last band that meant anything at all to me and most right-thinking people of my generation.

Almost everything that has come after has been horrible beyond my ability to describe. It's almost as if the shotgun shell that ended his life exited his skull and killed the music industry, which happened to be standing right behind him.

Cobain was of course a giant mess. He was a heroin addict who suffered from chronic pain and lifelong depression. On or about April 5, 1994, it was all over and Kurt Donald Cobain, aged 27, found the "Leonard Cohen afterworld" that he sang about just the year before.

Of course, he never really found peace. Almost immediately an epic battle for his recorded legacy was waged between his widow and his bandmates. His person was commercialized in death in ways that horrified him in life. His Leonard Cohen afterworld turned out to be not at all different than the world he killed himself to escape.

And it turns out that even his earthly remains have been stolen.

THE music world was In Bloom-in' shock last night after hearing that the ashes of grunge god KURT COBAIN have been PINCHED!

I can also reveal that the wife of the NIRVANA legend, COURTNEY LOVE, is said to be "suicidal" after finding Kurt's remains missing from her Hollywood home.

She had kept the singer's ashes in a pink teddy-bear-shaped bag along with a lock of his hair.

But a couple of weeks ago, she was horrified to discover them gone, along with thousands of pounds worth of clothes and jewellery.

Courtney said: "I can't believe anyone would take Kurt's ashes from me.
"I find it disgusting and right now I'm suicidal.

"If I don't get them back I don't know what I'll do." The sad news will sicken the millions of Cobain and Nirvana fans worldwide.
A pink teddy bear shaped bag? That must be Courtney's revenge for leaving her without a husband and their daughter without a father. Can you imagine the Godfather of Grunge spending the hereafter in a pink teddy bear shaped bag?

God knows that Courtney Love is an ... acquired taste. It seems that she has been on a non-stop berserk frenzy of drug fuelled weirdness for the fourteen years since Kurt died. But that is her husband and the only part of him that his daughter has ever known. To take that away, even if only by accident, is one of the coldest things I can think of doing to someone.

I feel terribly for Courtney Love this morning and hope that whoever has those ashes realizes what he or she has done and returns them.

Besides, I'm pretty sure that selling human ashes violates eBay's terms of service.

Easy Listening Recommendation of the Day: They Hung Him on a Cross By: Nirvana From: With the Lights Out

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12:53 AM

Sunday, May 04, 2008


JESUS MAKES YOU DUMB: JEREMIAH WRIGHT, JOHN HAGEE & PRESIDENTIAL POLITICS

For the last forty years presidential campaigns have essentially been little more than an episode of Seinfeld, fundamentally about nothing. The last campaign where serious issues were discussed in something approaching a seious manner was in 1964. Say what you will about the candidates, but the election itself was about the permanence of social security, the role of the federal government in guaranteeing the civil rights of the citizenry and the wisdom of sending an ICBM into the Kremlin men's room.

Since then, campaigns have been about generic "crime," the death penalty, the pledge of alliegence, gay marriage, and fucking flag pins. The one thing that all of these things have in common is that they have nothing at all to do with the executive office of the president. As a matter of fact, the pledge and flag pins have nothing to do with anything.

Voters - American ones in particular - don't like issues because they make your head hurt. It's much easier and much more fun to get angry about bullshit. It doesn't matter that the United States is $9 trillion dollars in debt and that its military and foreign policies are effectively crippled and everybody's losing their fucking houses, at least it doesn't matter as much as what Barack Obama's goddamned minister said.

We're now well into the sixth consecutive week of the most important debate in America: whether or not Jeremiah Wright is a nut. Judging by column inches in the newspapers of record, television time and space devoted by the biggest of the big dog blogs, you cannot come to any conclusion other than Wright is the most important man in the country. Thankfully, the United States isn't at war or anything.

To be fair, the preoccupation with goofy religious nonsense in this campaign didn't begin with Wright. Much was made about Mitt Romney's magic underpants during the Republican primaries. The fact that Romney is a Mormon seemingly mattered far more than did the fact that Romney is an asshole and a borderline idiot.

I'll admit a bias here. I think that Jeremiah Wright is endlessly entertaining. Do I think that he's a lunatic? Sure I do. But insane people are often fun to watch and I need something to occupy my time with between Charles Manson's parole hearings. I have discussed this with my future bride, and when the day comes that we get married, we want Reverend Wright to conduct the ceremony. This is because I'm the most romantic man ever.

Am I shocked that Wright believes that the US government created the HIV virus and is ultimately responsible for 9/11? Not really. Wright also believes that Jesus is, as Sarah Silverman put it, magic. Faith is predicated on believing implausible things with no logical foundation whatsoever.

I don't make any distinction between worshipping the Zombie Christ and thinking that Louis Farrakahn is a swell guy. Both are incredibly silly assertions. On the other hand, Farrakhan made a pretty cool calypso record and Jesus didn't, so Farrakhan wins! I know for a fact that calypso exists, which I can't say about ressurection.

You know why Jeremiah Wright has been on television so much? Because Jeremiah Wright is entertaining as hell. He yells. He dances. He imitates marching bands from Florida and Michigan. He says shit that convinces you that he's completely lost his mind. And of the four, George W. Bush has only been really good at the fourth.

Even though Obama is still the presumptive Democratic nominee, Wright has essentially destroyed his chances of winning a general election. Unless the senator actually shoots his former pastor in the kneecaps, his name will forever be tied to America's chickens coming home to roost.

And I think that's unfortunate for two reasons. First, there are several perfectly logical reasons to vote against Barack Obama if people would only take the time to pay attention. Second, what happens to America's chickens if they don't come home to roost? Will they roost in Scandanavia? Or will they roost with the terrorists? If the chickens roost with the terrorists, don't the terrorists win? I think about these things so you don't have to.

I know that there are any number of asshole Republicans who are exhibiting no small measure of glee over the media obsession with the Wright story. This is because Republicans can be stupidly short-sighted when they smell blood in the water.

Like most of you, I remember Jerry Falwell and Pat Robertson getting together on September 13, 2001 - three days after the attacks of 9/11 and three days before Wright made his comments - and said the following;

''What we saw on Tuesday, as terrible as it is, could be minuscule if, in fact, God continues to lift the curtain and allow the enemies of America to give us probably what we deserve.''

Mr. Robertson responded, ''Jerry, that's my feeling. I think we've just seen the antechamber to terror. We haven't even begun to see what they can do to the major population.''

A few moments later Mr. Falwell said, ''The abortionists have got to bear some burden for this because God will not be mocked. And when we destroy 40 million little innocent babies, we make God mad. I really believe that the pagans, and the abortionists, and the feminists, and the gays and the lesbians who are actively trying to make that an alternative lifestyle, the A.C.L.U., People for the American Way, all of them who have tried to secularize America, I point the finger in their face and say, 'You helped this happen.' ''

To which Mr. Robertson said, ''Well, I totally concur, and the problem is we have adopted that agenda at the highest levels of our government.''

God allowed America's enemies to give them what the country probably deserved. Not radically different than what Wright said, is it? But everybody focused on the part about "the pagans, and the abortionists, and the feminists, and the gays and the lesbians who are actively trying to make that an alternative lifestyle, the A.C.L.U., People for the American Way," as if Norman fucking Lear was the 20th highjacker, and they overlooked the first part. Liberals took Robertson and Falwell's comments as an attack on themselves because liberals are narcissitic shitheads. But they were an attack on America.

But President Bush never cut off either one of those ghouls and John McCain gave the commencement at Falwell's clown college just before Falwell had the good grace to finally fucking die. The GOP kept going to their poisoned wells long after they proved themselves to be every inch as treasonous as Jeremiah Wright. They campaigned on their dopey shows, received their emissaries at the White House and spoke at their hamburger universities.

If I know journalists as well as I think I do, they're using the Wright story to tee up a full-bore assault on evangelical retards in the name of being "fair and balanced." Journalists are godless heathens to be sure, but they happen to be particularly antagonistic toward conservative fairy tales.

All the way back in 1993, Bush remarked that "heaven is open only to those who accept Jesus Christ," which leaves Muslims and Jews in a rather precarious position. Fortunately for Bush, he was only running for governor then and the approximately 12 Jews and Muslims in the Lone Star State weren't going to vote Republican anyway. It was only in 1999, when he was preparing to run for president, that he sought absolution from Abe Foxman and the Anti-Defamation League.

Then there's John McCain's relationship with John Hagee. Reverend Hagee runs one of those Wall-Mart churches in Texas and believes some incomprehensibly dumb things.



And he's even got a minature whore for his "Whore Church" pointer. Awwww. John Hagee is fucking adorable!

Don't get me wrong, he's right about the "Whore Church" and Catholic anti-Semitism, but that's beside the point. There are 40 million Catholics in the United States and they constitute the single largest voting bloc there. Republicans would very much like to continue their recent trend of narrowly winning the Catholic vote. But the immigration debacle is going to crucify them with Hispanics and seeing John McCain holding hands with the likes of Hagee certainly isn't going to help with the rest of them.

Hagee also called Hurricane Katrina "the judgment of God against the city of New Orleans." because the city was planning a gay pride parade. Do serious people actually believe shit like that? I thought saying things like that got you in a straightjacket and not presidential politics.

When presented with Hagee's quotes, McCain distanced himself from them. However, just two weeks ago, McCain said to George Stephanopolous that he was "glad to have his endorsement." After the Obama / Wright conflageration, that isn't going to fly for very long. The press knows that and I think McCain does, too.

Look, I think John McCain is the first decent human being to run for president since Bob Dole 12 years ago and he doesn't want to attack Barack Obama's faith, particularly when the media and Hillary Clinton are doing it for him. I think, like the first President Bush, that he would like to avoid a presidential election becoming a stupid debate about an invisible man who lives in the sky.

Idiot bloggers are screaming for McCain's head because he won't jump on the Jeremiah Wright gravy train of glory. That's why I call them idiot bloggers. John McCain has been in politics for a very long time and is savvy enough to know that the second he attacks Wright, he opens himself up to questions about his relationship with Hagee and the ghost of Jerry Falwell returns to haunt him.

The stupid pricks in the GOP's evangelical base hate McCain and he isn't real fond of them either. But, while I disagree with his assessment, he feels he needs those jackals and doesn't need the hassle of throwing an evil crank like Hagee under the bus.

I'm not sure that's true. If any Republican can win without evangelicals, it's John McCain. Furthermore, it isn't like those assholes are going to vote for Obama. The worst thing that can happen is that they stay home. McCain is already on the record calling Falwell and Robertson "agents of intolerance" and Obama wrote a book about how wonderful Wright is. If it the argument stays at that level, McCain wins.

But McCain was almost killed by his little pantomine of kissing Falwell's ring at Liberty University last year and I'm not sure that the Lazarus act works twice. If Hagee becomes an issue - and the New York Times started the ball rolling this morning - he can't do any less than Obama did in denouncing him personally without getting killed.

Let's quit pretending that Obama isn't already the nominee. At this point, Hillary Clinton is little more than a highly effective McCain surrogate. As time goes by, it is increasingly clear that McCain can beat Obama with independents and what I like to call "Ed Rendell Democrats" who cower in fear at the prospect of voting for a brown person.

But if this campaign becomes an inspid Ecclesiastical debate, all bets are off and you're likely looking at a President Obama. After all, religious psychopaths who publicly indentify with the Republicans outnumber those who identify with Democrats by about a hundred to one. The only thing saving McCain from answering questions about his strange relationships with lunatics is Howard Dean's insane "50 state strategy" that adorably assumes that the Democrats have a shot in the South. When the eventual nominee takes over the DNC, I assure you that this will change.

I know that this little missive is going to piss off any number of my readers, including several of my friends. But faith is a private thing and is best left that way. If you insist on making that faith a spectacle in your elections, I reserve the right to mock both it and you mercilessly.

I'm also not dumb enough to say in public that Jeremiah Wright is any better or any worse than John Hagee. Does anybody seriously believe that if Barack Obama becomes president that he'll establish a black republic, go on television and say that the United States deserved 9/11, or establish a federal Department of Chicken Roosting? Really? I certainly don't think that John McCain is going to go on a whore church tirade although it would be awfully funny if he did.

I love the United States and its people with all of my heart. I've spent the better part of my life studying the country and its politics. But Americans have this highly distrubing quirk that makes their elections about God even more than the fucking Iranians do. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad didn't get elected president because he was closer to Allah. He got elected because he promised to kill more Jews.

Maybe Obama's pastor hates America. His plumber might, too. So the fuck what? In the end, making your elections about your religion is like my making my blog about my cock. And I'd never do that. I'm far too classy.

Easy Listening Recommendation of the Day: God By: John Lennon From: Plastic Ono Band

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10:11 AM

Friday, May 02, 2008


FUN WITH WMD, DEMOCRACY, STUPIDITY & IRAQ

You will get different estimates about precisely how close he is. We do know that he is actively pursuing a nuclear weapon. We do know that there have been shipments going into Iran, for instance -- into Iraq, for instance, of aluminum tubes that really are only suited to -- high-quality aluminum tools that are only really suited for nuclear weapons programs, centrifuge programs.
We know that he has the infrastructure, nuclear scientists to make a nuclear weapon. And we know that when the inspectors assessed this after the Gulf War, he was far, far closer to a crude nuclear device than anybody thought, maybe six months from a crude nuclear device.

The problem here is that there will always be some uncertainty about how quickly he can acquire nuclear weapons. But we don't want the smoking gun to be a mushroom cloud.

-Condolezza Rice, September 8, 2002

My last post seems have really stirred the shit in the comments. I like it when that happens and I'd particularly like to thank Mook for being a psychopath. It keeps things interesting around here, particularly when my writing sucks, which seems to happen a lot.

In the comments, Mook makes a couple of interesting assertions that underscore both how batshit fucking crazy he is and how goddamned dumb the Bush administration is. You have to work awfully hard to be that uninformed and I don't want him thinking that I don't appreciate his effort. When Bill O'Reilly finally has the good sense to commit suicide, Mook is more than capable of taking over that chair.

First, he states "Vietnam is a fair parallel to Iraq in that it was a large scale war in which we were not seeking to conquer and rule the country," which is true for what it's worth. It just doesn't happen to be worth much.

You see, Americans live with this adorable notion that people care what American motives are when the United States bombs or invades their country. I can assure you that they don't. Americans can get away with this because they consume half of the world's illegal drugs and possess half of its nuclear weapons. I learned a long time ago not to argue with heavily armed, stoned people and hopefully you did, too.

South Vietnamese villagers didn't like having their huts burned down and accordingly worked with the Viet Cong more than they otherwise would have. The Filipinos didn't enjoy being waterboarded and their liberation from Spain did little to alieviate that dislike. And I'm pretty sure that your average Iraqi doesn't feel especially "free" when he can't go to mosque without getting blown up. Also, replacing Abu Ghraib with, well, Abu Ghraib was probably less than wise. Just sayin'.

Americans like to point to the post-war occupations of Germany and Japan, yet neglect to mention that anyone capable of forming an insurgency in either country was fucking dead. Oh, and the allies had something approaching a proper force to population ratio in Germany and Japan, which they don't in Iraq. As you may have noticed by now, airplanes and smart bombs aren't particularly effective in civil pacification operations.

Mook continues; "Saddam was a nutjob threat to the region with a history of producing and using chem(ical) weapons. That threat was successfully removed."

Actually, that was true in 1998, as we later learned. As one can read about in Deception: Pakistan, the United States, and the Secret Trade in Nuclear Weapons by Adrian Levy and Catherine Scott-Clark, the Clinton "blowjob bombings" of December '98 were devastatingly effective in wiping out what remained of Iraq's WMD capacity while Republicans questioned the need for those bombings at all.

Mook suggests that Saddam "had expelled weapons inspectors back in 1998", which isn't the case. The inspectors left because he stopped giving them access to suspect sites. After they left, Saddam refused to readmit them.

Furthermore, the United States is the last country on earth that should bitch about the production and use of weapons of mass destruction. First, America actually invented most of those weapons and is the only country to have used a nuclear weapon. Second, the US government has excelled at (often accidental) proliferation and looking the other way when really scary countries like Pakistan get the bomb.

You know who else has WMD and a history of using them, Mook? The United States, the United Kingdom and France. You might know them as a majority of the permanent members of the Security Council.

Second, the US had a complicated history with Iraq's WMD program. Specifically, they provided the original funding for it during the war with Iran with agricultural credits and dual use technology transfers from the Reagan administration. This is something that Donald Rumsfeld doesn't like to talk about much, but knows quite a bit about.

Third, the idea invading a country that you presume has WMD and will use it on you or give it to terrorists is the single craziest fucking thing I've ever head. If Saddam did have them, the invasion would make it a self-fulfilling doom prophecy.

Here's how it works. No national leader would pass along a weapon like that and expect to long survive. Someone would only do something like that if the destruction of his regime was a certainty. It seems to me that if you're announcing that you're going to take a guy out, you're assuring that he'll either use those weapons on your troops or pass them along to terrorists so that he can exact his revenge from beyond the grave. The Bush administration is goddamned lucky that Saddam didn't have WMD. If he did, Pittsburg might no longer exist today.

That's not to say that Iraq shouldn't have been invaded, just that WMD was a laughably silly reason for doing it.

Saddam seemingly couldn't get out of bed in the morning without making a monsterously dumb strategic miscalculation. "I'll invade Iran. What could happen?" "I'll invade Kuwait. What could happen?" With the cocksucker French and Russians determined to lift the UN sanctions, it was only a matter of time before Iraq went on a shopping spree and Saddam did something dumb again and the United States would inevitably have to come to the rescue.

That being the case, better to take him down when he's weak than when he's strong. But that's a complicated argument to make to an uneducated public. It also lacks the peppiness of "mushroom clouds" and makes for a very busy bumper sticker.

Then there's the matter of unintended consequences, which President Bush seems to be the poster boy for.

In his 2002 State of the Union, the president and David Frum created an artificial "axis of evil" consisting of Iraq, Iran and North Korea, and specifically cited the dangers of their weapons programs. Then the US invaded Iraq. Predictably, Iran and North Korea accelerated those very programs to deter the United States. They might be evil, but Iran and North Korea aren't stupid. The best part? Deterrence seems to have worked. At least against the United States. Once the Commies and Persians figure out how containment works, Bush is fucked.

Mook took great exception to my contention that Operation Iraqi Freedom was "the most underplanned and undermanned military operation of its size in human history." Perhaps I could have stated that more clearly and I'll use this space to elaborate.

When one country decides to invade another, it usually knows two things before proceeding. First, they figure out what it will cost. Second, they decide what should happen when they win. The Bush administration was unique in resolving neither.

Paul Wolfowitz famously had the balls to go before Congress and say with a straight face that the war would cost no more than $50 billion and that would be financed through Iraqi oil revenues.

Both predictions turned out to be patent horseshit. Once you factor in the damage to the American economy and the continuing health care needs of the wounded veterans, this war is well on the way to eventually costing three trillion dollars. And that's three trillion in borrowed money, teenagers. For the first time in American history, a war is going to be paid for by the children and grandchildren of those who fought it. And to think that Larry Lindsey was dumped on his ass for suggesting that it was only going to cost $200 billion.

And you know what Iraq has been doing for the five years since "Mission Accomplished?" Importing gasoline. They sit on the second largest patch of it, but they're actually importing it. Turns out that three decades of war and sanctions rips the tits off of your production and refinery capacity. Who knew?

More importantly, the suggestion that the resources of a conqured nation could be exploited to pay for the conquest sort of undercuts the assertion that it was an operation where "invader does not seek to control the invaded country." The Wolfowitz plan would have been brilliantly original if the Germans hadn't thought of it first. But it does explain why the only arm of the fallen Iraqi government that was protected when the looting started was the Ministry of Oil.

As to the planning of what "victory" would look like, the history is there for anyone who wants to read it. The planning of the war took a year and a half. The planning for the aftermath only started about 3 months before the invasion. America's two proconsuls, Jay Garner and L. Paul Bremmer arrived in Iraq mere weeks after their appointments and had no documented directives on what precisely they were expected to accomplish. That, in a nutshell, is how Iraq ended up with a fucking flat tax before it had anything that even remotely resembled security. It's almost as if President Bush invaded a country to decide whether Steve Forbes was right all along.

Anyone who has read Rajiv Chandrasekaran's majestic Imperial Life in the Emerald City: Inside Iraq's Green Zone knows that the Coalition Provisional Authourity was little more than resume padding for budding young hacks from the Bush/Cheney 2000 campaign. If you once blew the guy who got coffee for the deputy director of lying in the Wyoming Republican Party, there was a better than even chance that you were going to rebuild Iraq's electrical infastructure. The results are obvious. Iraq still has no reliable electricity, but they do know all about the Bush vision of hack power. Of course, they already learned that from Saddam.

Worse still, the CPA went about attempting to sell off Iraqi state industries in direct violation of the Geneva Conventions, which explicity prohibit that sort of thing. That only further undercut the Bush administration's already battered reputation for competence and respect for the rule of law.

Now, I think things have gotten so bad inside Iraq, from the standpoint of the Iraqi people, my belief is we will, in fact, be greeted as liberators. . .

Q: If your analysis is not correct, and we're not treated as liberators, but as conquerors, and the Iraqis begin to resist, particularly in Baghdad, do you think the American people are prepared for a long, costly, and bloody battle with significant American casualties?

Cheney: Well, I don't think it's likely to unfold that way, Tim, because I really do believe that we will be greeted as liberators. . . . The read we get on the people of Iraq is there is no question but what they want to the get rid of Saddam Hussein and they will welcome as liberators the United States when we come to do that.

-Vice President Dick Cheney, "Meet the Press," March 16, 2003

The above quote by Vice President Hunty McShootaguy seems to be the total and full extent of postwar planning in Iraq. "They'll love us like the Japanese love Ratt," the thinking went. "We'll get the genetically criminal Ahmed Chalibi in there and everyone'll be happier than pigs in shit. Besides, who doesn't love a little sexual humiliation in jail?"

Anyone who knows anything about anything will tell you that you can't provide basic security with a ratio of occupiers to occupied that thin, let alone transform a society that is older than most, riven with historical sectarian divides, and is famously fucking cranky. The idea that you can take over a country as big and as crazy as Iraq with a force that thin and placate it with a guy who has actually convicted of a massive bank fraud right next door is worse than insane, it's criminal negiligence. Congress must have created a Department of Fairy Tales when I wasn't looking because I can't think of anywhere else that such "planning" could have taken place. On the other hand, it is perfectly representative of the entire Bush presidency.

If you were curious about what I meant by "the most underplanned and undermanned military operation of its size the human history", now you know. No intellectually honest person would say that the occupation of Iraq is a a testament to superior planning, manpower and execution.

Which leads me to the other points Mook has to make to make.
"Name another large scale war in history involving 150,000 invading troops where only 4,000 were lost over a 5 year period in in-country battle. Whether you all are honest enough to admit it, those relatively minimal losses, miniscule by historical standards, are a testament to superior planning, manpower and execution."
Oh.....

I can't think of another large scale war in history where over 90% of the casualties occured after the mission was described as accomplished and the major combat operations were deemed "over." You see, Mook suffers from a case of Bush Derangement Syndrome, too. He conveinently forgets major policy statements from his masturbatory Jesus when they conflict with his hallucinatory world view.

What Mook also doesn't work out in his retarded calculus is the number of Iraqis who have been killed in that 5 year period. Surely, you remember them, right? Those are the folks you liberated! Well, the insurgents have killed nearly a hundred of them for every American they've smoked. Of course, that number is just a guess since the Bush administration can't be bothered to acttually count how many of the people it liberated have been subsequently murdered. Also remember that the one of the only things an occupying power is legally obligated to provide the occupied is security.

If you agree with the position that the insurgent tactics are indeed those of terrorists, you have to recognize what the point of terrorism is. And that's not to achieve a stellar body count, it is to instill fear. That's where the "terror" part comes in, see? And it seems to me that your average Iraqi is plenty scared.

The Vietnam analogy is being bandied about quite a bit in the comments of my previous essay, and that's worth exploring.

Mook contends that "we didn't deliver any semblance of democracy in Vietnam or in the entire region, whereas Iraq has had democratic elections. Sure Iraq's political alliances are fragile, but they are undeniably steps toward democracy like nothing we were able to accomplish in Vietnam. And so on. That progress in Iraq costing 4,000American lives vs. 58,000 Americans killed in Vietnam."

Categorical nonsense. South Vietnam had plenty of elections. They just didn't mean a whole lot because those governments were incapable pf providing basic services, such as security, to their constituents. Sound familiar?

The Vietnam analogy also falls apart in the face of the "what if America wasn't there in the first place" test. If America wasn't in Vietnam, the north would have swallowed the south and bunch of people would have died. That's tragic, but ultimately what happened anyway.

If America never went to Iraq, Saddam would be running a criminal government that targeted political dissidents and ethnic rivals. But since America went into Iraq the way that it did, anarchy has broken out where the violence is completely random and no one of any faction is safe. Worse still, a Kurdish declaration of independence remains a distinct possibility, which would provoke a Turkish invasion with the United States in the middle.

That's your "superior planning, manpower and execution" at work.

But you're right and I'm wrong, Mook. Bush is Clauswitz in a fucking cowboy hat. You finally got me. I'm the deranged one. George W. Bush will remembered as the greatest military mind in recorded history!

I may be wrong and engaging in faddish "truth to power" rhetoric. But you're consciously and despite all of the available facts, speaking "truth" for power, which is usually infinately worse, son.

Easy Listening Recommendation of the Day: Gimmie Shelter By: The Rolling Stones From: Let It Bleed

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11:45 PM

Thursday, May 01, 2008


BECAUSE "I AM NOT A CROOK" WAS ALREADY TAKEN

Every president wants to be remembered for something. Harry Truman will always be remembered for his "The Buck Stops Here" sign, the Marshall Plan, NATO and desegregating the military. Bill Clinton will always be remembered interrupting a blowjob so that he could masturbate into a sink and inspiring a government report detailing same. If you were to ask most Americans, they would tell you that Clinton was the more consequential president. This is but one reason that the American government should get out of education entirely.

George W. Bush is lucky enough to preside over what I like to call the O.J Simpson period of world history. It really doesn't matter what you're famous for, all you need is to be famous to win. It is for this reason that the Juice gets more pussy than I do and Saddam Hussein was probably getting pictures from Kurdish girls showing their cooters in the mail as he was awaiting execution. What O.J and Saddam were famous for isn't nearly as relevant as the simple fact that they were famous.

President Bush currently has an approval rating of 22% - lower than Richard Nixon's was the day he became the only man to resign the presidency and faced the very real prospect of going to jail - a new record. Most people would look at a number like that feel emotions like shame, disgust or anger. I feel bewilderment, if only because it tells me that 22% of Americans would vote for Bush again if they could. For that reason, I firmly believe that a quarter of all Americans should be randomly sterilized.

Today marks the day that things went horribly, terribly and publicly wrong for the second Bush presidency. Historians will someday detail how things went awry almost from the second that Prince Hal W assumed office, but his contemporaries will always point to May 1st 2003.

The first of May always struck me as an odd day for an American president to celebrate anything as it is traditionally a day for communists to remember thier misadministration of half of humanity. But as time went by, May 1 was as good a day for the president of the United States to declare "Mission Accomplished" in Iraq. The only way that this war could have been more aptly framed is if it had started five days earlier.

President Bush's little stunt on the USS Abraham Lincoln was one for the ages. There was the president's crotch-enhancing flightsuit, his aerial dynamics and the declaration that "major combat operations in Iraq have ended." The Democrats were of course hapless before such a spectacle. Everyone knows that liberals are afraid of heights and have tiny penises.

Had things not gone as they did, we would have seen endless footage of it throughout the 2004 election season. The camera crews were there and ready, the jet was fuelled and the candidate had the single greatest backdrop in the history of political advertising. Best of all, the whole thing had been paid for by the American taxpayer.

But things didn't go the way the way they were supposed to and major combat operations in Iraq were far from completed. As it happened, the removal of Saddam Hussein and his thuggish Ba'ath regime was the easy part, and the season in hell was just beginning. History's most expensive photo-op instead will be forever remembered as a monument to hubris, as garish and impractical as any of Saddam's many palaces.

May 1st, 2003's declaration of "Mission Accomplished" was a fitting tribute to the most underplanned and undermanned military operation of its size the human history. And the signs of what was to come were already evident to anyone who was paying attention. After the April 9 fall of the Ba'ath government every city south of Mosul was racked by looting. Donald Rumsfeld called this a consequence of freedom, which is a "messy thing," but the Iraqi opposition saw it as something different. They saw that they could defy the United States with impunity.

By May 1st, suicide bombing in the Sunni triangle had already started and the fearsome rumbling of the Sadrist militias were already being heard in the south. But it would be over a year before any administration official said the word "insurgency" out loud and a year after that before the phrase "geurilla war" was uttered. By the time the Bush administration recognized the reality of May 1, 2003 - which didn't happen until January of 2007 - the country was engulfed in a civil war.

"Mission Accomplished" is something that should be forever remembered by those who care about history. May 1st is a day to remember not only the short-sighted foolishness of President Bush, Vice-President Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, Paul Wolfowiz and Douglas Feith; but it is also a day to remember men like General Eric Shinseki and Lawrence Lindsey, who didn't oppose the war, but knew what it would require. They turned out to be low estimates - particularly Lindsey's - but the were intellectually honest and they lost their jobs for their trouble.

Today is "Mission Accomplished" day and the White House's minister of propoganda press secretary, Dana Perino, couldn't be more insulted that anyone would have the temerity to bring that up.

"President Bush is well aware that the banner should have been much more specific and said `mission accomplished' for these sailors who are on this ship on their mission," White House press secretary Dana Perino said Wednesday. "And we have certainly paid a price for not being more specific on that banner. And I recognize that the media is going to play this up again tomorrow, as they do every single year."
That begs an important question. What price, specifically, did the White House pay? After all, it did get re-elected, which is precisely what the big show on the Lincoln was designed to ensure. They took a hit on what little credibility they had left, but that's hardly comperable to the price being paid by the young men and women of the American military each and every day.

They are under-manned and under-equipped. They are fighting a war that their political masters spent literally years denying the existence of. One day they are told that they're fighting for Iraqi liberity and the next they're told that they're little more than terrorist flypaper. In fact, the White House even blamed the "mission accomplished" banner on the very people it was designed to celebrate.

And Dana Perino has the gall to complain about the press pointing that out? For a pretty girl, she has an exceptionally large set of balls on her.

To people like President Bush and Ms. Perino, this is about the troops, the war, or even American foreign policy. Instead, it's another exercise in "the press isn't being fair to us." It's whining from people who pretend that they're the only ones grown-up enough to to govern.

During his last press conference as president, Dwight Eisenhower was asked if he thought he was treated fairy by the media. In response he said "I don't see what a reporter can do to a president, do you?"

That's something that all of his successors forgot. Reporters don't destroy presidencies, presidents so. And this one more than most. That's something else that should be remembered on this, the fifth "Mission Accomplished" day.

I'm not a huge enthusiast for what journalism has become. When Paris Hilton takes up more space than Robert Mugabe, journalism ceases to be something anyone should take seriously. But they got it right on "Mission Accomplished." That's precisely what they should focus on and that's precisely the debate the public should be having. For an administration that urges democracy and open dialogue is the sands of Mesopotamia, they sure don't seem to encourage it much at home. And that's something else we should take "Mission Accomplished" to mean.

"Mission Accomplished" will ultimately be remembered by history as the 21st century equivilent of "I am not a crook." But they are different in that George Bush survived and Richard Nixon didn't. And nobody died because of Watergate.

"Mission Accomplished" is the legacy that President George Walker Bush refuses to embrace but will haunt him through the ages.

Easy Listening Recommendation of the Day: Thorn in My Pride By: The Black Crowes From: The Southern Harmony and Musical Companion

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1:51 AM

Friday, April 18, 2008


RETURN OF THE SON OF ASK skippy

I know that picture really doesn't pertain to anything ... other than your immortal soul and it's relationship to 18 wheelers, but my future bride bought it on ebay, and I thought that I would post it to show you all why I love her so. Think about it, Jesus and an 18 wheeler? Painted on velvet? If that doesn't indicate a woman that should decorate my home for the rest of my life, I just don't know what does.

There's another reason that I love my Zombiegirl so. You see, she told me that she wouldn't stop me if I had the opportunity to sodomize Lindsay Lohan. How fucking great is that? My girlfriend is exactly what Hillary Clinton would be if Hillary was smart, honest and had the greatest rack in human history. Next I'm going to ask if I can sodomize Penelope Cruz!

Now I don't want to turn this enitre blog about my love for the Queen of America. Okay, not all of it. There's other shit that I want to talk about, too.

For example, there's something else that I've always loved with all of my heart. That would be a little feature I used to run here called "Ask skippy." I loved it so because it allowed me to interact with my readers in way altogther different than they way I usually did, which was sleeping with them. Plus, those posts pretty much wrote themselves.

However, after only seventeen short installments, the questions stoppped coming. I guess everyone got tired of my having all of the answers. Or you wanted to resume sleeping with me. Or something.

But the loyal chronicler of my good works, Luke Baggins, wanted to bring back the feature just as badly as I did. So he asked skippy ... quite a few questions, actually.

I've mentioned repeatedly in this space that I don't think that Canada's national heath care program will last much longer. Maybe 20 or 30 years on the outside. If my American readers are skeptical of Social Security's solvency - and almost all of them are - multiply it by 12 and you'll get an idea of how health care is run in my home and native land.

More recently, I've also suggested that some variant of that system is inevitable in the United States.

This compelled Luke to ask;


So your expectations are that the US will be adopting it sometime in the future while the Canadian system goes bankrupt sometime in the future. Do you expect these two events to coincide in any way? Which one do you expect first?
I should note that my predictions are made based on different realities. My thoughts on Canadian health care are based on fiscal reality, factoring in things like demographics and projected tax income. My projections for the United States is based entirely on American political reality, which you might have noticed has been quite different from fiscal reality for the last seven years.

During the Bush administration, the American people have gotten a healthy dose of Republican socialism, and let's face it, if voters didn't like getting free shit, President Bush wouldn't have given it to you in time for the 2004 election, now would he? Some of you might quibble with me on this, but the "free" prescription drug benefit added to Medicare is projected to cost over $800 billion over 10 years. But voters don't give a shit about that. They just hear the words "free" and "benefit," and they practically come in their pants.

Here's another reason the plan was Marxist. Your jabbering dupe of a fucking president gave up one of the most powerful tools capitalism provides: the right to bargain. Not only are your goddamn happy pills not free, you schmucks are actually paying retail for them. WalMart bargains on price with the pharmacutical companies based on bulk purchasing, but the United States government can't. Way to go.

Public heath care will almost certainly be a consequence of the "slippery slope." Free prescription drugs are of little use if you can't afford to see someone who can actually precribe them. Eventually, even your average American voter will figure that out.

My theory is that voters will someday figure out if the government is handing out free shit, it may as well be free shit that benefits them personally. Whether of not socialized medicine helps anybody is entirely beside the point. Voters, particularly of the American variety don't care about that. They care about giant ballon drops, "Misson Accomplished" banners, and Barack Obama's taste in lapel-wear. Everything other than that is considered incidental and best left until after the election.

Times have changed since 1993, folks. Not only is Hillary Clinton a raving fucking socialist, but so is the majority of the GOP. There is now effectively no real political opposition to national health care in America. Add to that the fact that health care costs are rising at something like seven times the rate of inflation and you've got a incubator for a pretty serious political cause.

Worse still, big business is increasingly lobbying for it. In the few places left in America where Taft-Hartley didn't destroy unions, health care benefits are rapidly becoming the single biggest expense for the employers of unionized workers. And in most unions, you carry your health benefits with you into retirement.

And that was fine in a pre-globalization world. There was no real competition then. But with NAFTA and GATT, it is much easier for American business to pack up and move to countries with educated workforces and national health care systems. Employers aren't like governments. If they can find someone else to pay for something, they will. Each and every fucking time.

That's why more "American" cars were built in Ontario last year than in Michigan.

As a rule, Canadians are better-paid than Americans and have a better standard of living. We also pay quite a bit more in taxes. Why then would they American automotive industry move here? Health care. If the federal government pays for it, it means that General Motors doesn't have to. What they lose in taxes, they more than make up for in savings on their collective agreements.

If anything, the northern exodus of the American industrial sector might keep our health care system afloat longer than I originally thought. God knows that that, oil, and being the only G8 country with balanced budgets are the only things keeping us out of the financial abyss the United States is slipping into.


I'm totally against socialized medicine, but I'm afraid you might be right about the way the U.S. is headed. On the other hand, I don't see it as set in stone. One thing I read about recently (I'm too lazy to look up the link) was that some fucker with a French name who was credited as one of the author's of Canada's national healthcare system had written an op-ed about the need to allow more choice as to private insurance and private care. This seems like a really big deal to me. It seems like a substantial retreat from the generally internationally accepted position on socialized medicine by someone who matters. But I don't know shit.
"Choice" is one of the great asshole Republican misrepresentations of the Canadian health care system. Under the Ontario Health Insurence Plan (OHIP), I can see any doctor I want for any reason I want. Under private insurance, you can only see the doctor who accepts that company's plan. There's probably far more "choice" under my system than yours, particularly for the 47 million of you who have no choice at all.

Furthermore, while the Canada Health Act disallows private insurance for procedures covered by the provincial plans, private insrance itself isn't illegal. And any Canadian who can afford it has an alternative option. You might have heard of it, Luke. It's called the United States. Servicing rich Canadians has become something of a cash cow for American doctors in recent years.

Luke's argument mirrors that of Canadian liberal fuckheads who decry a "two-tier" health care system and don't recognize that we already have one and always have. The people who are going to be hardest hit by socialized medicine are going to be wealthy Canuks who just can't wait for their foreskin tuck.

Lest I be accused of "praising" or "defending" Canada's system by people like Mook, let me point out that I'm firmly convinced that the system won't long survive my generation. And there are currently any number of massive problems within the system. These include wait times and the exodus of nurses in particular who move south for a big payday.

But national health care is a political question and not a rational one. And voters have a great deal of trouble distinguishing between the two. And the politics pretty much dictates that America will join the rest of the industrialized world in our delusion before the rest of us go broke. On the other hand, The United States is doing just fine going broke without socialized medicine. I find it incredibly amusing that you're heading toward our system when you can least afford it.

Having said that, the Bush administration has already created a welfare state for the pharmacuetical, credit and investment banking industries. Companies like Archer Daniels Midland and Lockheed Martin continue to profit enormously from government practices so patently fucking silly that even Moscow and Beijing don't engage in them anymore. If the American people can afford that, have fun explaining to them why they have to worry themselves stupid when their kids get sick.

Once voter sentiment joins with the whims of big business, you can bet your ass that politicians aren't far behind. And that's a hard rain that's a-gonna fall in the not too distant future.

Easy Listening Recommendation of the Day: Dear Doctor By: The Rolling Stones From: Beggar's Banquent

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10:37 PM

Saturday, March 08, 2008


THE BUSH DOCTRINE IN THEORY AND PRACTICE: INCOMPETENCE, HYPOCRISY AND GAZA

Almost from the second he was sworn in as president, George W. Bush began building a foreign policy on a foundation of falsehoods, fantasy and delirium tremens. During the 2004 Democratic primaries, Dick Gephardt described the incumbent president as a "miserable failure," which was something of an understatement. The message however was lost in the fact that Dick Gephardt has no eyebrows.

Despite campaigning on the premise that nation building was something that the United States was best kept far away from, Bush soon decided that he couldn't be a truly failed president until he embraced democracy without ever considering it's implications. This is seemingly key. For that reason, the Iraqi people were relentlessly bombed into the freedom to persue their deepest desire, murdering one another.

To be fair, the president couldn't possibly have known the consequences of the sudden liberation of repressed and atagonistic ethnic groups. It's not like there was any precedent for that. If only there was an experience to draw upon, like in the Balkans, say, ten years before ...

Anyhow, getting people of different ethnic and religious backgrounds to annhiliate one another with car bombs gets tired after a while. That's when you graduate to getting competing terrorist groups to kill one another.

It's kind of a complicated process, so you'll need to bear with me.

First, you get a bunch of terrorists together, give them two slivers of shithole land and let them think it might actually be a country. It's also important that said assholes of land sandwich a country that everybody wants destroyed. Then you force an election that all but the craziest motherfuckers in the region don't want. Then you just add water and stir.

From the enshrinment of the Oslo accords through 2006, the Palestinian Authority was ruled by the Fatah faction of what was formerly known as the Palestinian Liberation Organization. Fatah, and the PLO before it, was little more than a personality cult built around its leader, Yasser Arafat, and defined by his almost physically overwhelming corruption. From time to time, Arafat would allow one of his factions, the al-Aqsa Martyrs' Brigades, to launch terrorist assaults into Isreal as a means of keeping his kleptocracy undisturbed. When Arafat finally had the common decency to die in November of 2004, things got complicated fast.

However, and this is important to remember, the government of Israel continued to deal with Fatah at some level if only because the alternatives were so much worse than Arafat was. Even when the Israeli Defense Force was launching offensives into Gaza and blockading Arafat in his own headquarters, they still recognized Fatah as the legitimate government of the Palestinian Authority.

The Bush administration went much further than did even Israel. They refused to meet with Arafat at all. President Bush and then-National Security Advisor Condolezza Rice, neither of whom even pretended to know very much about the Middle East, positioned themselves to the right of Prime Minister Ariel Sharon vis-a-vis the Palestinans.

Upon Arafat's death, the Fatah leadership was assumed by Mahmoud Abbas. Within a year, Ariel Sharon slipped into an irreversible coma and was succeeded by Ehud Olmert. Unfortunately, Bush and Rice stayed exactly where they were and and made destroying the region something of a hobby.

As we have seen in both Afghanistan and Iraq, President Bush has something of a democracy fetish. The problem is - as scholars of German history have noted - that when you inject democracy into chaos, Adolf Hitler tends to wind up in power. And the Middle East has a long and storied history of chaos.

Bush continued his nonsensical chorus for elections in the Palestinan Authority that began in January of 2001. What followed demonstrates that President Bush not only doesn't understand the Middle East, it also shows that he doesn't understand electoral politics very well.

Fatah was a cauldron of corruption that supported limited terrorism, yet was publicly defined by a personality cult. When the personality heading the cult left the scene, all that was left was the corruption and the conflicting measures in dealing with Israel.

On the other hand, there was never any doubt what Hamas stood for; unlimited terrorism and the ultimate destruction of the Jewish state. But Hamas was also socially active in ways that Fatah never was. They built schools and maintained sewer services, y'know, the kind of shit that you cast ballots for. Much of the infastructure that should have been built and maintained by Fatah was instead the creation of Hamas.

Whether the Palestinian people support terrorism is debatable and electorally insignificant. Hamas made the trains run on time and put the kids in school, which is something that Arafat and Abbas never could. Anyone who knows anything about politics could have told the president of the United States who would win an election between the two.

In fact, both Fatah and the Israelis told the administration what would come of an election in the PA. They knew that Hamas would not only win, but win in a landslide that would destroy the peace process, perhaps forever.

The upcoming issue of Vanity Fair tells the story of what happened next in almost excruciating detail. After reading it, the only people left defending the competence of the Bush foreign policy will be drunkards, the addled, the insane and the most evil people among us.


Dahlan says he warned his friends in the Bush administration that Fatah still wasn't ready for elections in January. Decades of self-preservationist rule by Arafat had turned the party into a symbol of corruption and inefficiency - a perception Hamas found it easy to exploit. Splits within Fatah weakened its position further: in many places, a single Hamas candidate ran against several from Fatah.

"Everyone was against the elections," Dahlan says. Everyone except Bush. "Bush decided, 'I need an election. I want elections in the Palestinian Authority.' Everyone is following him in the American administration, and everyone is nagging Abbas, telling him, 'The president wants elections.' Fine. For what purpose?"

The elections went forward as scheduled. On January 25, Hamas won 56 percent of the seats in the Legislative Council.

Few inside the U.S. administration had predicted the result, and there was no contingency plan to deal with it. "I've asked why nobody saw it coming," Condoleezza Rice told reporters. "I don't know anyone who wasn’t caught off guard by Hamas’s strong showing."
This begs the very important question of just who the Secretary of State is hanging out with?

For a time, the United States believed that Hamas could be brought into the "roadmap" process defined by the U.S, U.N, Russia and the European Union. That illustrates an almost stunning ignorance of not just foreign policy, but basic electoral politics. Expecting Hamas to abandon antogonism to Israel is like expecting the Republican Party to abandon poorly thought out tax cuts and bending over for people like Pat Robertson, which is to say it that isn't something that would happen after a smashing success at the polls. Imagine Lincoln recinding the Emancipation Proclomation in March of 1865 and you sort of get an idea of how well it would work.

What Bush and Rice did in the aftermath of the Palestinian elections not only undermined their own silly "freedom agenda," it set back the credibility of the United States in the region for decades.

Essentially, the administration sought to reverse the results of a free and fair election that nobody wanted but them. And they did so by actually giving military aid to the losers of the election. As you might imagine, overturning the popular will of the Palestinian people tends to undermine your committment to freedom somewhat. That's particularly true if that popular will would never have been expressed in the first place but for your insistence.

The problem was that the newly Democratic Congress refused to authorize lethal military aid for Fatah for fear that it would end up in the hands of Hamas and be used to threaten Israel. But, as Karl Rove teaches us, the Democrats are almost always with the terrorists, so they could be safely ignored.

Of course, the go-to guy in the subsequent scheme was Elliott Abrams. Observers of recent American history might remember Mr. Abrams as a guy who pled guilty to his role in the Iran - Contra affair and was pardoned by the current president's father. That he served the current administration on the National Security Council, which doesn't require Senate confirmation, demonstrates that even the craveness of the Republican Congress of the day had its limits.

What essentially happened afterward is that the United States solicited military aid and training for Fatah's security services from third-party Arab governments, which is sort of what should have gotten President Reagan impeached.


The scheme bore some resemblance to the Iran-contra scandal, in which members of Ronald Reagan’s administration sold arms to Iran, an enemy of the U.S. The money was used to fund the contra rebels in Nicaragua, in violation of a congressional ban. Some of the money for the contras, like that for Fatah, was furnished by Arab allies as a result of U.S. lobbying.

But there are also important differences - starting with the fact that Congress never passed a measure expressly prohibiting the supply of aid to Fatah and Dahlan. "It was close to the margins," says a former intelligence official with experience in covert programs. "But it probably wasn’t illegal."
There are other similarities to Iran-Contra in this scheme. The original Reagan scheme was run out of the National Security Council in the White House basement. The NSC had absolutely no experience in running covert operations on its own and it was a miracle that Iran-Contra survived for the two years that it did. The more recent Bush plan was directed by the State Department, which has even less operational experience in covert action and a widely known reputation for leaks.

And leaks are exactly what happened. The operation, and the American fingerprints on it, leaked to the Arab media and gave Hamas plenty of time to prepare for and crush it. The secret coup against Hamas by Fatah and the United States was no longer secret. Yet, the plans and arms transfers continued. A covert operation that was no longer covert continued as if it was.

The results were disasterous. Not only did Hamas launch a preemptive strike that not only defeated Fatah, they slaughtered its loyalists in the streets. It was a horrific thing to watch, especially if you happened to be an Israeli within striking distance of Hamas' new terrorist stronghold. The arms that the United States skirted the law to transfer to Fatah now belong to Hamas and directly threaten Israel.

The operation was so badly bungled that the Fatah-loyalist al-Aqsa Martyrs' Brigades refused to participate in the defence of Gaza.


Others who stayed out of the fight were extremists. "Fatah is a large movement, with many schools inside it," says Khalid Jaberi, a commander with Fatah's al-Aqsa Martyrs' Brigades, which continue to fire rockets into Israel from Gaza. "Dahlan's school is funded by the Americans and believes in negotiations with Israel as a strategic choice. Dahlan tried to control everything in Fatah, but there are cadres who could do a much better job. Dahlan treated us dictatorially. There was no overall Fatah decision to confront Hamas, and that's why our guns in al-Aqsa are the cleanest. They are not corrupted by the blood of our people.”

Jaberi pauses. He spent the night before our interview awake and in hiding, fearful of Israeli air strikes. "You know," he says, "since the takeover, we've been trying to enter the brains of Bush and Rice, to figure out their mentality. We can only conclude that having Hamas in control serves their overall strategy, because their policy was so crazy otherwise."
You know that a policy is fatally flawed in it's concepetion and execution when even your enemies think that a disaster is what you specifically intended.

As a result of the incredibly awkward stumbling of President Bush and Secretary Rice, not only is Gaza gone, so is the somewhat moderate Fatah. If President Abbas has any hope whatsoever of maintaing power, he is going to distance himself from the United States and Israel in a demonstrable way, thus making an acheivable peace agreement even more difficult than it was before.

Ironically, during the 2000 campaign, President Clinton's Camp David summit was one of the things that George W. Bush railed against the most. His entirely Palestinian policy during the first term comprised of not being a tool of Yasser Arafat. That policy turned Gaza into a dagger pointed at Israel's heart. And it certainly doesn't help Egypt, which trained and participated in arming the Fatah security forces either.

And it isn't like the Bush administration wasn't warned. There were true American patriots like Brent Scowcroft who sounded the warning bells all along.


The status quo, Scowcroft said, is not necessarily a good thing, but it might be better than what follows. "My kind of realism would look at what are the most likely consequences of pushing out a government. What will replace it?" What will replace autocratic but stable governments, neoconservative thinkers say, is whatever the people of the Middle East decide will replace them. Robert Kagan, of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and a Kristol ally, has written critically of the Bush Administration’s incomplete adherence to its own anti-tyranny doctrine. Referring to President Hosni Mubarak of Egypt, Kagan wrote, "Perhaps there is concern that too much pressure on Mubarak might produce a victory by the Muslim Brotherhood, the most popular Egyptian opposition party, which has been outlawed by the government. That's a risk, of course, but if the Bush Administration isn't willing to let Islamists, even radical Islamists, win votes in a fair election, then Bush officials should stop talking so much about democracy and go back to supporting the old dictatorships."

Scowcroft believes that the Administration has already gone too far in Kagan's direction. "Let's suppose Mubarak disappears and we have an election," he said. "The good guys are not going to win that election. The bad guys are going to win that election. The bad guys are always better organized. Always. The most ruthless, the tough ones, are the ones who are going to rise to the top in a chaotic society. That’s my fear."

The Bush Administration does not, as a rule, concede that democratization in the Middle East could lead to a series of Islamist states. One day, I mentioned to Scowcroft an interview I had had with Paul Wolfowitz, when he was Donald Rumsfeld’s deputy. Wolfowitz was the leading neoconservative thinker in the senior ranks of the current Bush Administration. (He is now the president of the World Bank.) I asked him what he would think if previously autocratic Arab countries held free elections and then proceeded to vote Islamists into power. Wolfowitz answered, “Look, fifty per cent of the Arab world are women. Most of those women do not want to live in a theocratic state. The other fifty per cent are men. I know a lot of them. I don’t think they want to live in a theocratic state."

Scowcroft said of Wolfowitz, "He's got a utopia out there. We're going to transform the Middle East, and then there won't be war anymore. He can make them democratic. He is a tough-minded idealist, but where he is truly an idealist is that he brushes away questions, says, 'It won't happen,' whereas I would say, 'It's likely to happen and therefore you can't take the chance.’ Paul's idealism sweeps away doubts." Wolfowitz, for his part, said to me, "It's absurdly unrealistic, demonstrably unrealistic, to ignore how strong the desire for freedom is."

Maybe not so much.

How can you call Afghanistan a democracy when the elected government only controls approximately 30% of its terroritory? How can you say that the surge in Iraq is a success when you don't know what will happen when the surge draws down? How can any rational person look at the Palestinian Authority or Lebanon and say that democracy is working? How can any right thinking human being look at what George W. Bush has done to the world and not say "What in the fuck has happened to American foreign policy?"

How can anyone call themselves a conservative and support anything that this president has done? President Bush has not only reversed the trends of the end of the Cold War, he's rapidly sending the world back into the Dark Ages.

Don't think that the next president is going to fix this, either. Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are promising to further antagonize the rest of the world by reopening settled trade and defence agreements and John McCain is going to be a captive of his own idiot right.

Unfortunately, reasonable people like Richard Nixon and Gerald Ford are dead and Henry Kissinger, James Baker, Brent Scowcroft and the first President Bush are too old to do the decades of work that it will take to undo the disaster this administration has wrought.

A few years ago, I compared George W. Bush unfavorably to Lyndon Johnson. In retrospect, I was far too charitable in my evaluation of the current president. President Johnson only destroyed Vietnam and did a decade's worth of damage to the American economy. Even that was mitigated by his heroic stands in civil rights and the establishment of Medicare. Everything President George Walker Bush has gotten close to has been ruined almost beyond repair. The man is either incompetent, malevolent, cursed or all three.

Anyone who has ever wondered what Mr. Magoo would be like as president can put down their hashpipes.

Comparing Bush to other American presidents is a fool's game. By almost any standard, the guy falls short of even a shitheel like Fidel Castro in the leadership sweepstakes. Both have detained people under questionable circumstances in Cuba, but Castro was at least able to raise his nation's literacy rate. Cuban hospitals might be cesspools, but so is Walter Reed.

I love the United States and the American people with all of my heart, but I despair over what it's become over the last twenty years. As voters become increasingly disengaged with the electoral process, idealogical "base turnout" has become the most effective way to win. That means what P.J O'Rourke once lovingly described as "Bullshit, Money and Television" carries the day. And that's how people like Bill Clinton and George W. Bush come to power. I've spent way too many years and too much money studying the American presidency to see it become a tool by which one can get more blowjobs and wage epic Oedipal battles. The last sixteen years should demonstrate better than anything else what "process politics" brings.

I'm not going to stand here and tell you that my country is any better politically. In a lot of ways, Canada is far worse. We build up leaders only to destroy them forever and we're much better at it than Americans are.

But we don't tout ourselves as the "leader of the free world." We don't have a nuclear arsenal, a giant army or a tendency to fuck about in the politics of other nations. All of those things carry with them a special responsibility.

I know that Americans get awfully pissy when foreigners like me point out the flaws in your electoral process, but the decisions you make when you aren't eating pork rinds and beating your wives during Super Bowl commercials are felt around the world. Like it or not, that gives the rest of us the right to an opinion. I don't remember all of you Republican assholes getting all that uppity when a ton of Iraqis were waving purple fingers and sitting next to Laura Bush at the State of the Union address. You don't get to play policeman of the world unless we can see your badge.

Besides which, when American foreign policy irredeemably fucks up a place like, say, Central America or Somolia, Canadian peacekeepers get to go in and try to fix it without things like money and guns.

Any halfway smart person will read the next issue of Vanity Fair and ask what's worse; a country that deliberately arms and empowers terrorists, or one that does so by accident.

Special thanks to Daimnation

Easy Listening Recommendation of the Day: A Small Victory By: Faith No More From: Angel Dust



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10:48 AM

Friday, October 19, 2007


THE BUSH DOCTRINE IN THEORY & PRACTICE: KURDISTAN EDITION


We will starve terrorists of funding, turn them one against another, drive them from place to place, until there is no refuge or no rest. And we will pursue nations that provide aid or safe haven to terrorism. Every nation, in every region, now has a decision to make. Either you are with us, or you are with the terrorists. From this day forward, any nation that continues to harbor or support terrorism will be regarded by the United States as a hostile regime.
-President George W. Bush, Address to a Joint Session of Congress, 20 September 2001
In the lead-up to his invasion of Iraq, President Bush opined forcefully and frequently that the United States was justified in toppling the government of Saddam Hussein because it was a state sponsor of terrorism and posed a direct threat to the America and its allies.

Surprisingly, the Bush Administration is less than enthusiastic about the parliament of Turkey having reached the same conclusion about neighboring Iraqi Kurdistan.
The Turkish parliament yesterday voted to allow military strikes against Kurdish separatists in northern Iraq, despite stiff U.S. opposition and appeals from Baghdad for time to purge the rebels.

A government motion seeking a one-year authorization for one or more incursions into Iraq was approved with the support of 507 lawmakers in the 550-seat house, with 19 voting against.
The motion leaves it up to the government to determine the timing and scope of the operation and the number of troops to be sent.

Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan has stressed that parliamentary approval would not mean immediate military action, signalling room for diplomacy.

Baghdad and Washington scrambled to dissuade Ankara from following through on military action.

Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki said he was determined to act against the separatist Kurdistan Workers' Party, which attacks Turkey from its bases in northern Iraq.

The PKK has waged a bloody campaign for Kurdish self-rule in southeast Turkey since 1984. The conflict has claimed more than 37,000 lives.
Any fair-minded observer has to agree that, under this president's own doctrine of international relations, Turkey has a much stronger case for attacking Iraq than did the U.S in 2002-03.

In 2002, Washington argued that Iraq harbored terrorists and may have allowed the establishment of al-Qaeda training camps on its territory. That those camps were in the autonomous Kurdish zone and protected by U.N resolutions and American air power was wisely left unsaid.

Since the end of the first Gulf War nearly 17 years ago, the Kurdistan Worker's Party (or PKK) has escalated its terror attacks against Turkey and not infrequently engaged the militaries of both Turkey and Iran. Turkey responded with a low-level attempts at the ethnic cleansing of its southeastern frontier, which only served to invite more terorrism from the PKK.

Between the American wars in Iraq, the PKK fought rival factions in the autonomous zone. However, since the overthrow of Saddam, neither the Kurdish regional government, the Iraqi government in Baghdad, or the United States military - which has been charged with unrooting terror wherever it is found - has done much of anything about the PKK. To Turkish ears, the president's declaration that "you are either with us, or you are with the terorists" must ring hollow indeed.

Turkey has been a close American ally since the the end of the First World War and, as a member of NATO and under the Truman Doctrine, it enjoys an American security guarantee. There are currently 160,000 U.S forces in Iraq and the United States has done nothing to stop terror attacks against an ally by a group that the U.S itself has designated as a terrorist organization from a country it occupies. Indeed, Washington holds Iraqi Kurdistan up as an example for the rest of the region.

It then stands to reason that Ankara has every right to ask the United States with whom it stands, Turkey or the terrorists.

Of course, the fledgling government of Nouri al-Maliki would very much like to avoid a second foreign invasion of his country in less than five years and has pledged to Turkey's prime minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan that such an exercise will be unnecessary.


Maliki told Erdogan on the telephone that Baghdad "is absolutely determined to end the activities and the presence" of the PKK in Iraq, the semi-official Anatolia news agency reported, quoting unnamed sources.

He asked for "a new opportunity" to resolve the issue through diplomatic means and proposed talks.

Erdogan welcomed the proposal but warned that Ankara cannot tolerate any "further waste of time."
I think after 23 years, Turkey has been more than patient.

The obvious question is with what army will al-Maliki "end the activities and presence" of the PKK? The army under his control has yet to prove itself equal to the task of quelling the insurgency that has engulfed the territory under his direct command, and Maliki has little, if any, influence in Kurdistan. Indeed, one would be hard pressed to find anything as trivial as an Iraqi flag north of Kirkuk.

The United States currently has no forces at all in the north and even if it did, lacks the will or domestic political support to take on the PKK and face the possibility of a third major insurgency against its forces.

Therefore, there are few options other than Turkish unilateral action. Ironically, the White House is strssing diplomacy.


In Washington, President George W. Bush said the U.S. was "making it very clear to Turkey that we don't think it is in their interests" to send troops into Iraq. But Washington has lost leverage with Ankara because of a pending Congressional vote on a resolution branding the 1915-17 Ottoman massacres of Armenians as genocide.

Turkey strongly rejects the "genocide" tag and has threatened unspecified reprisals against its NATO ally.
For George W. Bush to call for patience and diplomacy is certainly one of the more interesting phenomenons in recent history. That he decides what is and is not in the interest of other countries certainly is not. He is, when all is said and done, the decider.

Bush's evaluation of Turkish interests is certainly fascinating. Saddam Hussein presented no direct threat to the American homeland, all fantasies about "mushroom clouds in American cities" aside, and the terrorism he sponsored targeted few, if any, American citizens or interests. But terrorism was one of the two stated justifications for the March 19, 2003 invasion.

Yet "democratic" Iraq is currently providing both safe harbor and a base of operations to the PKK, which has attacked Turkish terroritory, interests and nationals repeatedly for years. Those were precisely the reasons the United States was justified in taking down the Taliban in Afghanistan.

It is important to remember that Turkey is not acting pre-emptively to some distant (and laughable) threat. It has been and continues to be attacked by a group that even the United States has declared a terrorist organization. And the Bush Administration is trying to slam the brakes down on that.

That begs an important question; "What is the War on Terror really about if not terror and going to war against it?" The United States was never attacked by Iraq, not even by proxy. One attack against the American homeland was launched from Afghanistan. Yet, this administration levelled two (albeit highly unpleasant) governments and engaged in a doomed exercise in nation building that it mocked just seven years ago.

Turkey, on the other hand, is in its third decade of attacks on its terrority by a group that everyone recognizes as terrorist. The Iranians know that the PKK is a terrorist group. But Turkey is supposed to wait around around for the United States and its puppet regime in Baghdad to do .... nothing. George W. Bush and Nouri al-Maliki have spent more time fighting Carl Levin than they have the Kurdistan Workers Party.

When one country invades another, it faces the risk of a native insurgency. That's the nature of war. The Turks have invaded no one. No, they find themselves invaded by a Kurdish foreign insurgency that believes it has found protection in the rhetoric of Washington. And for all intents and purposes, the PKK does have President Bush's protection.

It couldn't be more obvious that this president believes that his country alone has the right to respond to a threat - real and perceived - however and whenever it sees fit, yet reserves the right to restain other nations with clear and justified national security interests at stake. It is equally obvious that he is about learn a powerful lesson; that the world doesn't work that way.

Five years ago, President Bush was rather more liberal in using words like "terrorist" and "genocide" than he is today. He's now learning that those words have real long-term, and probably permanent, implications on America's relationship with Turkey.

The Kurds are the world's largest ethnic group without a nation of their own. Consisting of approximately 55 million souls, they are nearly twice the population of Canada. They have been oppressed, betrayed and slaughtered by every country in the region. Their tragic history, however, does not give them licence to engage in terrorism.

Ankara has the same right to self-defence that Washington does and they have a far more compelling case for conducting military operations in Iraq now than did the United States four and a half years ago. In fact, since America assumed responsibility fot Iraqi security by virtue of its occupation and disbanding of the Iraqi military, the Bush Administration has a special duty to prevent precisely what is happening now. It is now clear that it has been derilect in that duty.

That leaves it with nothing but bad options, and those options are getting worse by the day.

Mr. President, are you with the Turks or are you with the terrorists?

Editor's Note: I wrote this post in longhand at work yesterday. Of course, most of the arguments were also used in a far more humorous way by the Daily Show last night. I just can't win, can I?

Easy Listening Recommendation of the Day: Welcome To The Terrordome By: Public Enemy From: Fear of a Black Planet

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10:28 AM

Saturday, October 13, 2007


WHO KNEW? GENERAL RICARDO SANCHEZ AND THE CATASTROPHY IN IRAQ

As you probably know, the former commanding general of Operation Iraqi Freedom, Ricardo Sanchez yesterday came out against the war. And to think it only took him three years after leaving the theatre to do so.

The former top commander of U.S. troops in Iraq slammed the handling of the war and gave a bleak assessment of the current situation in Iraq.

"There is no question that America is living a nightmare with no end in sight," retired Lt. Gen. Ricardo Sanchez told a convention of military journalists on Friday.

Sanchez commanded U.S. troops in Iraq from June 2003 to July 2004. His controversial tenure saw the capture of Saddam Hussein and the handover of sovereignty to the Iraqi government, but also the rise of the insurgency and the Abu Ghraib prison scandal.

(...)

But Sanchez reserved most of his venom Friday for U.S. officials, saying the U.S. government still has not brought all the resources needed to win in Iraq.

"From a catastrophically flawed, unrealistically optimistic war plan, to the administration's latest surge strategy, this administration has failed to employ and synchronize the political, economic and military power," Sanchez said.

Continuing changes to military strategy alone will not achieve victory, rather it will only "stave off defeat," he said.

"The administration, Congress and the entire inter-agency, especially the State Department, must shoulder the responsibility for this catastrophic failure and the American people must hold them accountable."
No shit, Rick? Really? And here I was thinking that things were going so well.

Firstly, let me re-affirm that I supported the war, lest you think me some manner of lefty fuckhead. I've written more than enough about that support and the reasons behind it that I needn't restate my position here.

Having said that, the stated reasons for the war were incredibly stupid and the administration's projections were almost criminally optimistic. No one should ever tell people that their soldiers are going to "be greeted as liberators" as they are being sent into battle because most people - and Americans especially - are dumb enough to believe them. Not only were predictions criminally misleading, they were politically suicidal.

In the summer of 2002, I privately told a couple of friends in California that I wouldn't be at all surprised that the United States would suffer something in the neighbourhood of 10,000 casualties in the battle to eject Saddam alone. While the Iraqi army and, more importantly, the Republican Guard didn't put up much of a fight to hold Kuwait in 1991, defending their own homeland was very different. I, and more importantly, the military planners, envisioned a months-long siege of Baghdad that looked more like Stalingrad that what actually occurred.

Furthermore, if you really believed that the Ba'ath regime had WMD, it follows that they would use it to ensure its survival or to make the cost of destroying it unacceptably high. After all, Iraq used chemical weapons in its war against Iran and that didn't involve its own homeland defence.

Obviously, I was wrong, but I shouldn't have been, and the Bush administration should have told the American people to expect something along the line of my predictions. Firstly, they were entirely possibly and any student of history knows that. Secondly, even if proven wrong, such a casualty projection would let people see the current numbers, 4,500 dead, for what they are, incredibly low in a historical context.

No responsible leader should ever say that they are going to invade a country that is roughly equal to Texas in terms of size, geography and population without anyone getting hurt. One of the great lessons of Vietnam is that if the country isn't prepared for the inevitable casualties, domestic support for the war quickly evaporates. And that's pretty much what happened in Iraq. Cheney never tired of saying that American forces would be greeted with candy and blowjobs, and when the insurgency started, support for the entire exercise melted away.

The most important factor in any military conflict is the domestic will to win. Once that's gone, you're finished. Christ, even a monster like William Randolph Hearst understood that if you're going to manufacture a war, you had damn well get the public on board and keep them there.

Sanchez is generally right in his criticism, but wrong in the specifics. It wasn't Congress or the Department of State that set the troop levels for the invasion which ultimately led us to where we are today. That was done by the civilians at the Department of Defense and specifically approved by the President of the United States.

This president's father determined that nearly 600,000 troops were necessary for the relatively simple task of ejecting Iraq from Kuwait, yet Donald Rumsfeld and George W. Bush figured that they could pull off the infinitely more difficult job of invading, occupying and pacifying a much larger country with less than a third of that force level. And no one - not the president, the generals, Congress, or the media ever question the wisdom of that in public. Everyone in official Washington thought that invading a huge country with fourteen Americans, eight Englishmen and a Pollack was a good idea.

Asked why he did not speak out about his concerns, Sanchez said general officers take an oath to carry out the orders of the president while in uniform.

“The last thing that America wants, the last thing that you want, is for currently serving general officers to stand up against our political leadership,” he said.

However, general officers do have the option of stepping down if they disagree with the country's leaders.

Sanchez said he felt he could not resign and go public with his reservations while he was in Iraq, because he feared that move could further jeopardize troops serving there.

“I think once you are retired, you have a responsibility to the nation, to your oath, to the country, to state your opinion,” he said.
Horseshit.

If there's one thing that I'm getting good and goddamn tired of, it's these generals who only speak out when they are safely retired and on the payroll of a super-enormous defence contractor. By staying silent while in uniform, these generals are guilty of a dereliction of duty.

And it should be remembered that General Sanchez was in command from June 2003 to July 2004. This is when things went from merely bad to irretrivably lost. I'm confident that the doomsday rubicon was crossed when Sanchez himself was in charge.

Sanchez's thoughts on his responsibilities as a retiree are nothing short of absolute nonsense and they suggest that he had no responsibilities as an active-duty flag officer. And that is wrong. The first responsibility of any officer is the protection of the men who serve under him to the maximum extent possible. Officers have the responsibility to not send their men into a suicide mission unless doing so is absolutely necessary to the success of the overall mission.

And the way that Rumsfeld and Bush constituted the invasion made the mission itself a suicidal. There was no way that the pacification of a hostile population that large could occur with a force that small in theatre and the senior uniform command knew it. They history on that is pretty clear at this point.

Knowing this, if a general has a "responsibility to the nation," it is to immediately resign and tell the country why. At a minimum, they have a legal obligation to testify truthfully to Congress about their reservations. Of the generals who have come out against the war since the 2003 invasion, a grand total of none have done so while still in uniform. Only one, General Eric Shinseki, fulfilled his obligations to Congress and the American people.

For Sanchez and his ilk to say that his resignation would "further jeopardize troops serving there" makes him either a liar or an idiot. How does his current critique jeopardize the troops any less now than it would have then? He would have been equally retired.

Sanchez makes the equally silly assertion that "general officers take an oath to carry out the orders of the president while in uniform."

Not so. If an officer receives an order that is either illegal or unduly dangerous to his men, he has the legal and moral obligation to disregard it and resign his commission. "Just following orders" hasn't been a defence - legal or otherwise - since the 1940s.

General officers achieve their rank because of their leadership qualities. To follow a political/military strategy that one knows to be dangerously flawed is the antithesis of leadership. It is nothing less than careerism of the lowest order. And for generals like Sanchez to continue to collect their pensions as they criticize a policy they themselves executed is an act of moral cowardice.

I hate what this war has become with all of my heart, but I refuse to take common cause with assholes like Ricardo Sanchez in doing so. This is a matter of principle for me, and dare I say, it's more principle than Sanchez himself ever demonstrated.

If there's anything worse than Monday morning quaterbacking from the guy who was actually throwing the ball on Sunday afternoon, I can't see it.

Easy Listening Recommendation of the Day: Masters of War By: Bob Dylan From: The Freewheeling Bob Dylan

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1:21 PM